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Факторы риска и методы прогнозирования клинического исхода COVID-19 (обзор)

https://doi.org/10.15360/1813-9779-2022-1-31-38

Аннотация

Одним из эффективных инструментов изучения COVID-19 является исследование больших популяций пациентов и выделение факторов, влияющих на течение и прогноз, с помощью различных методов статистического анализа и математического компьютерного моделирования. Применение прогностических шкал, разработанных на основании сопоставления динамики клинических и лабораторных показателей с морфологическими данными, может помочь в своевременной оценке возможных вариантов течения заболевания и выделении больных группы высокого риска неблагоприятного исхода.

Цель обзора. Оценить факторы риска тяжелого течения и неблагоприятного исхода COVID-19, существующие инструменты прогнозирования течения и исхода новой короновирусной инфекции. Поиск источников осуществляли в базах данных PubMed, Medline, Google Scholar. Данный литературный обзор наряду с краткими данными об этиологии, патогенезе COVID-19 и об известных эпидемиологических, клинических и лабораторных факторах, влияющих на ее течение, содержит информацию о существующих инструментах оценки прогноза течения и исхода заболевания.

Заключение. Необходима разработка прогностических моделей, созданных под конкретные условия с возможностью постоянного мониторинга ситуации и внесения корректировок при необходимости. Обнаружение новых более чувствительных на ранних этапах заболевания маркеров и разработка на их основе инструментов оценки прогноза могло бы значительно улучшить исходы COVID-19.

Об авторах

С. В. Сокологорский
Первый МГМУ им. И.М. Сеченова Минздрава России (Сеченовский Университет)
Россия

119991, г. Москва, ул. Трубецкая, д.8, стр. 2



А. М. Овечкин
Первый МГМУ им. И.М. Сеченова Минздрава России (Сеченовский Университет)
Россия

119991, г. Москва, ул. Трубецкая, д.8, стр. 2



И. В. Хапов
Первый МГМУ им. И.М. Сеченова Минздрава России (Сеченовский Университет)
Россия

119991, г. Москва, ул. Трубецкая, д.8, стр. 2



М. Е. Политов
Первый МГМУ им. И.М. Сеченова Минздрава России (Сеченовский Университет)
Россия

119991, г. Москва, ул. Трубецкая, д.8, стр. 2



Е. Л. Буланова
Первый МГМУ им. И.М. Сеченова Минздрава России (Сеченовский Университет)
Россия

119991, г. Москва, ул. Трубецкая, д.8, стр. 2



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Рецензия

Для цитирования:


Сокологорский С.В., Овечкин А.М., Хапов И.В., Политов М.Е., Буланова Е.Л. Факторы риска и методы прогнозирования клинического исхода COVID-19 (обзор). Общая реаниматология. 2022;18(1):31-38. https://doi.org/10.15360/1813-9779-2022-1-31-38

For citation:


Sokologorskiy S.V., Ovechkin A.M., Khapov I.V., Politov M.E., Bulanova E.L. Risk Factors of Severe Disease and Methods for Clinical Outcome Prediction in Patients with COVID-19 (Review). General Reanimatology. 2022;18(1):31-38. https://doi.org/10.15360/1813-9779-2022-1-31-38

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